New poll numbers are out for the hotly contested 81st Illinois House race.
According to a poll conducted by the firm Fabrizio Lee, conservative challenger Keith Matune has opened up a lead on incumbent Republican State Rep. Ron Sandack as the contest enters the final weekend before the Republican Primary Election on Tuesday, March 18.
The survey, commissioned by Liberty Principles PAC, was conducted March 11-12. The sample was 300 likely GOP primary voters, and has a margin of error of +/- 5.7%. The results:
- Matune 37
- Sandack 31
According to Dan Proft, Chairman of Liberty Principles PAC, Matune has steadily risen in the polls over the last seven weeks as district voters got to know and evaluate him as a result of mail, phone, television and online communications produced by the PAC.
"When I first surveyed this race on January 21-22, Sandack led 32-16. When I next surveyed the race on March 2-3, Sandack led 31-22. Now Matune has opened up a lead outside the margin of error," Proft told Illinois Review.
Proft also noted that Matune’s favorable/unfavorable is nearly 2:1 (35-19) whereas Sandack’s is 1:1 (34-33); and that Matune wins among those who have heard of both candidates (78% of sample) by 11. Matune also leads with those who have an opinion of both (50% of sample) by 23. Finally, Matune leads with conservatives by 21.