from the Hughes for U.S. Senate campaign
(HINSDALE, IL) – A new Wilson Research analysis of polling data from the U.S. Senate campaigns of Mark Kirk and Patrick Hughes, respectively, indicates bad news for the Kirk campaign. This comes on the heels of news from Kirk’s Senate campaign that he is seeking the endorsement of former Gov. Sarah Palin.
"I believe Mark Kirk, who has consistently supported President Obama's legislative agenda, including cap and trade legislation, is quickly realizing that Republican Primary voters do not share his extreme views. In a desperate attempt to prove otherwise, he is seeking the endorsement of Sarah Palin, a true Reagan conservative, to help disguise his liberal voting record, "remarked Hughes.
In its comparative analysis of polling data from both U.S. Senate campaigns, Wilson Research found Patrick Hughes’ live-person polling data to be statistically more accurate than the “robopolling” conducted by Mark Kirk’s campaign. Here is a summary of the findings from Wilson Research:
Wilson Research indicated that the Market Research Insight Survey Market Research Insight sampled n=500 likely GOP primary voters in a poll sponsored by businessman Patrick Hughes in a standard live-person telephone survey in September 2009. The respondents for this survey were chosen from a population of registered voters in Illinois who have a recent history of voting in Republican primaries.
- The ideological background of the primary electorate appears to favor a candidate such as Patrick Hughes. Seven in ten respondents (69%) described themselves as ideologically conservative, compared to only a quarter (25%) of respondents describing themselves as ideologically moderate.
- The findings of the images and ballot of the Market Research Insight survey demonstrate that the race is competitive.
- In the survey, Congressman Kirk has a favorable to unfavorable ratio of 2.7:1. Patrick Hughes’ favorable rating is much higher, at 9:1, but has far less name ID than the Congressman (64% for Kirk versus 24% for Hughes).





















"Consistently supported" Obama is far less factual than Hughes voting "consistently" in GOP primaries.
Posted by: Louis G. Atsaves | Thursday, November 05, 2009 at 02:40 PM
============================================
Kirk Seeks Palin Endorsement One Year After Trashing Her
Kirk was one of the first elected Republican officials to raise concerns about Palin's selection as John McCain's vice presidential candidate. Back in October 2008, the Illinois Republican told the Chicago Tribune that he "would have picked someone different." Asked later whether he thought Palin was qualified to be one heartbeat away from being commander in chief, Kirk replied: "Quite frankly, I don't know."Quite a few other Republicans were distancing themselves from Palin around the same time. But Kirk was actually associated with the McCain campaign -- having bundled for the Senator -- making his remarks all the more of a distraction for the Arizona Republican.
=======================================
Sarah Palin should show Marky the same level of "support" he showed her last year. RINOs always demand conservatives support them but never support conservatives when the shoe is on the other foot.
Who wants to see Marky Mark and his RINO fan club get a taste of their own medicine?
Sarah Palin, how do you feel about Mark Kirk being the lead Republican candidate to take back Obama's senate seat?
"Well, I would have picked someone different"
Do you feel Mark Kirk is well prepared to serve the people of Illinois in the U.S. Senate?
"Quite frankly, I don't know."
Posted by: BillyBoy | Thursday, November 05, 2009 at 02:47 PM
If Sarah Palin supports Kirk I will loose respect for her BIG TIME.
Posted by: A.N. | Thursday, November 05, 2009 at 02:56 PM
It's good to see that Mark Kirk wants the support of Sarah Palin, but he has constantly pushed gun control, so called hate crimes, close GITMO, pro abortion, supported big government and bailout bill.
Sarah should not endorse him based on his record. Mark Kirk is our Dede Scozzafava. But he is up for a primary but the establishment and the committees are funneling him conservatives donations to the NRSC.
Posted by: Pittsburgh Steelers Fan | Thursday, November 05, 2009 at 03:28 PM
Nothing in Steelers last paragraph makes sense. Then again, it comes from a Steelers fan.
Posted by: Bakersfield | Thursday, November 05, 2009 at 03:55 PM
Palin supporting Kirk won't help or hurt Kirk. It won't change the minds of either pro or anti-Kirk primary voters.
But it would be suicide for Palin. And that might be exactly what Kirk&Co have in mind. Kirk thinks he will need big money.
The people who gave $900,000 to Scozzafava will double down on Kirk if they can suck Palin into a suicide move.
Those who control the big money from the Beltway are the ones who hate Palin and drive the hate Palin media message. And they hate Palin for one simple reason, they don't control her. She could win without them and then she would not need them after elected.
If Palin campaigns for Kirk she will not get the support of the country club. And she will lose the support of the base.
Posted by: spintreebob | Thursday, November 05, 2009 at 04:00 PM
====
RINOs always demand conservatives support them but never support conservatives when the shoe is on the other foot.
====
As just about everyone qualifies as a "RINO" per your definition, BillyBoy, I can tell you that I and many others I know are LIVING PROOF that your statement is an outright lie--and there are many Conservatives out there, who would back me up based on the facts.
Posted by: ? | Thursday, November 05, 2009 at 04:51 PM
Ah "?", thank you for insulting conservatives again and proving my point about you.
No, I do NOT think everyone qualifies as a "RINO", and I've probably said that about a dozen times in my other posts but of course you choose to ignore it. I only define "RINO" as someone who supports the Democrats on a MAJORITY of issues. Many conservatives have labeled people as "RINOs" that I don't think deserve the label. As such, I've repeatedly defended and supported Republican candidates like John McCain, Lindsey Graham, Norm Coleman, Lamar Alexander, Tony Percica, Dan Rutherford, Jim Edgar, and many others over their Democrat opponents. I don't think someone is a "RINO" just because they happen to disagree with me on a handful of important issues.
There's really point in explaining my position to you on thread after thread again, since you continue to ignore it and scream "Democrat plant" at those who oppose the little treasonous socialist Mark Kirk.
As for my claim that RINOs always demand conservatives support them but NEVER support conservatives when the shoe is on the other foot, I can show you LIVING PROOF of that with candidates like Dede Scozzafava, Arnold Schwartzenegger, Marge Roakma, Joe Schwarz, Wayne Gilchrist, George Ryan, Judy Barr Topinka, and of course, your guy Mark Kirk (who is begging for Palin's endorsement when he refused to endorse her last year), all of whom REFUSED to endorse conservative in the general election when the choice came down to either the conservative or the socialist Democrat. I have yet to see ANY RINO who is willing to put their butt on the line for a conservative candidate "when it counts". Maybe you'll claim to have stood by Peter Fitzgerald in 2004, Palin in 2008, and every other conservative when they needed it, but certainly I've never heard of a single RINO that did so.
Can you name an example of your guy Kirk putting his butt on the line to elect a conservative? Didn't think so. RINOs deliver for nobody but the left.
Posted by: BillyBoy | Thursday, November 05, 2009 at 05:27 PM
====
Can you name an example of your guy Kirk putting his butt on the line to elect a conservative?
====
Why BillyBoy, so that you can call that Conservative out claiming that there's something wrong with him or her because of a "RINO's" support, or because the "RINO" and Conservative worked together to do something good for our State?
Not gonna play that game with you, BillyBoy.
Do us all a favor, and please go try to distract the Democrats.
Posted by: ? | Thursday, November 05, 2009 at 05:40 PM
I can't stand Kirk but this is a smart move for him. A win-win. If Palin endorses him (which is unlikely) he can try to hold that up for conservatives (enough will bite too). If she doesn't endorse him (especially if she publicly states she isn't) he can use this to prove that he is a so called "centrist" in the general election.
Posted by: rightwinger | Thursday, November 05, 2009 at 06:22 PM
On the other hand, if Palin were to end up endorsing Pat Hughes, Kirk would have a hard time dismissing it as just the wing nuts sticking together, wouldn't he?
Posted by: Right From the Start | Thursday, November 05, 2009 at 06:57 PM
Palin won't get involved in this race, guys, even if Kirk was an Obama Administration flunkie.
People are trying to get her involved in Crist/Rubio and this race. Ain't happenin'. She was able to get Hoffman real close and accomplished her objective (along with Fred Thompson and Dick Armey) which was to get the Clown Shoes NRSC to back off endorsing primary candidates. That's why this was done. Hoff winning would have been gravy, but it wasn't the top objective.
The conservatives were concerned that the RINO's were giving money to their own kind and choking off the K-Street gelt from any of our people. The icing on the cake was when Dede ran off with 900 grand and endorsed Owen after she dropped out of the race. Now the NRSC support couldn't elect Jesus among the rank and file. That's why Cornyn did such a Mea Culpa. Newt Gingrich couldn't beat Hitler in a Republican Primary today. Not even the ranting Hitler from the "Downfall" parodies.
For Sarah's part, too, a lot of this is about keeping the money in circulation so it doesn't end up in Mittens' hands. Sarah is smarter than a lot of people think she is. And she's much too smart to get involved in Kirk/Hughes or Crist/Rubio. She'll speak for your local congresscritter, though. No charge, as long as there's a place to change Trig's diaper.
Posted by: section9 | Thursday, November 05, 2009 at 08:42 PM
Has Peter Roskam (IL-6) checked in on this yet? A conservative who was specifically targeted by, and instead whipped up on, Rahm big time two years ago? He might have an opinion worth hearing.
Posted by: Mark Thoman | Thursday, November 05, 2009 at 09:36 PM
Here in non-fringie America a Sarah Palin endorsement is the kiss of death....
so I hope and she endorses as many candidates as she can..... she'll do it if they donate to her PAC.
Posted by: making some pop corn ... | Friday, November 06, 2009 at 07:08 AM
The recent elections in New Jersey and Virginia show the pendulum is swinging the
conservative direction. Mark Kirk sees this. He now seeks endorsement from a recognized conservative Republican voice.
I think Spintreebob has drawn the best picture of what is going on here: certain RINOS backing Kirk hope to fool the GOP voters by getting an endorsement from Palin.
I just hope someone who reads this website has a way to contact Sarah Palin, to warn her of Kirk's record, and his motives in seeking her endorsement.
Posted by: Dennis C. Ryan | Friday, November 06, 2009 at 09:52 AM
>>> a Sarah Palin endorsement is the kiss of death <<<
Ah, the new left-wing talking point. Sarah Palin endorsement = "kiss of death". Apparently they've concluded this "fact" based on ONE candidate that she endorsed (namely Hoffman in NY) has lost an election. (kinda like how the fact Kirk abstained from taking earmarks ONE year of the nine he's been in Congress means he "opposes all earmarks")
Funny, it wasn't a "kiss of death" for the other dozen or so Sarah Palin endorsements since 2008, such as Michele Bachmann, Orrin Hatch, Marsha Blackburn, Bob McDonnell, Chris Christie, and Saxby Chambliss. They got the "kiss of death" from Sarah during their campaign and won handily. In fact, Saxby was only 1% ahead of his Dem opponent on election night 2008, but then got the Sarah Palin "kiss of death" endorsement in the December run-off election and experienced a huge surge in support, beating the Dem by a solid margin.
The only thing Sarah Palin's endorsement gives the "kiss of death" to is the RINOs in a campaign against the conservative she endorsed. Certainly was the nail in the coffin of Scozzafava's campaign.
Perhaps that explains Kirk's latest flip-flop, begging for an endorsement from someone he trashed last year. Nice try, Marky. As someone else noted, if Sarah reads about your record she's as likely to endorse you as Hilter is to get a glass of ice water in hell.
Posted by: BillyBoy | Saturday, November 07, 2009 at 07:34 PM